Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Carter 60.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 69.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 50.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Giroux
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Giroux
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
65.6% (262)
-10.1%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
68.3% (63)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
50.5% (99)
+8.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Giroux
Carter
Home
59.0% (576)
64.3% (207)
Away
56.9% (576)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Giroux
Carter
P1
57.0%
65.3%
P2
58.1%
60.1%
P3
58.9%
63.8%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |