Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.1% vs Pavelski 54.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 69.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 82.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 58.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Giroux
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Giroux
Pavelski
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Giroux
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
7
1
Giroux
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (1,285)
53.6% (657)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.0% (405)
60.2% (221)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (191)
51.7% (60)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Giroux is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Giroux shoots right. Pavelski is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pavelski
Home
58.4% (942)
57.4% (470)
Away
56.5% (939)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Giroux
Pavelski
P1
60.8%
53.4%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
57.8%
55.5%
OT
49.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
57.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 19, 2015 | OT | 01:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |