Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 61.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 64.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 50.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Giroux
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
52.3% (560)
+7.4%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
57.5% (113)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
62.5% (16)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Giroux shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pavelski
Home
59.5% (580)
54.2% (360)
Away
57.3% (641)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Giroux
Pavelski
P1
56.6%
54.5%
P2
58.0%
56.7%
P3
60.8%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
64.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |