Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 65.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 78.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 59.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Giroux
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Giroux
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
51.5% (594)
+4.0%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
51.7% (87)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
28.6% (14)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pavelski
Home
59.0% (576)
53.1% (339)
Away
56.9% (576)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Giroux
Pavelski
P1
57.0%
53.8%
P2
58.1%
47.8%
P3
58.9%
50.2%
OT
52.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
61.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
58.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |