Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Duchene 55.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 67.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 87.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 67.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Giroux
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Giroux
Duchene
Last 7: Giroux 6-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
56.5% (566)
-1.0%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
61.3% (62)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
22.2% (9)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Giroux
Duchene
Home
59.0% (576)
56.6% (318)
Away
56.9% (576)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Giroux
Duchene
P1
57.0%
57.2%
P2
58.1%
55.1%
P3
58.9%
55.6%
OT
52.9%
81.3%
Final 5 min
61.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |