Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Duchene 52.1% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 67.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 78.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 75.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Giroux
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Giroux
Duchene
Last 5: Giroux 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Giroux
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
53.0% (723)
+6.6%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
49.5% (101)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
43.8% (16)
+17.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Giroux
Duchene
Home
65.7% (461)
54.9% (408)
Away
57.7% (515)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Giroux
Duchene
P1
60.7%
52.5%
P2
63.7%
51.7%
P3
60.2%
53.6%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |