Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 62.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Giroux
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Giroux
Zibanejad
Last 7: Giroux 3-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Giroux
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Giroux
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
52.9% (870)
+6.7%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
53.5% (43)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
46.2% (143)
+15.2%
On power play, Giroux has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Giroux shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Giroux
Zibanejad
Home
65.7% (461)
55.1% (501)
Away
57.7% (515)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Giroux
Zibanejad
P1
60.7%
57.5%
P2
63.7%
50.7%
P3
60.2%
47.9%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
61.5%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |