Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 62.2% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 66.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 53.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 62.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Giroux
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
63.2% (302)
53.8% (591)
+9.4%
Power Play
68.8% (93)
47.4% (38)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
64.5% (121)
43.6% (117)
+20.9%
On power play, Giroux has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Giroux is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Giroux shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Giroux
Zibanejad
Home
67.5% (277)
48.2% (307)
Away
61.1% (239)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Giroux
Zibanejad
P1
65.1%
54.0%
P2
64.7%
51.0%
P3
63.6%
50.6%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
64.5%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |