Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Frost 55.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 61.3%
Defensive zone
Giroux 82.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 52.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Giroux
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Giroux
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Giroux
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
54.9% (701)
+5.4%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
60.8% (166)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
100.0% (5)
-34.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Giroux
Frost
Home
65.9% (337)
56.0% (443)
Away
59.1% (318)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Giroux
Frost
P1
62.1%
58.9%
P2
64.5%
55.3%
P3
60.9%
54.0%
OT
70.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |