Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Frost 50.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 87.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 98.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 92.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Giroux
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Giroux
Frost
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Giroux
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
12
1
Giroux
Frost
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
49.4% (3,598)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
55.5% (625)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
52.8% (36)
+4.6%
On even strength, Giroux has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Giroux
Frost
Home
59.2% (10,252)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Giroux
Frost
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
56.2%
51.1%
P3
57.3%
48.5%
OT
51.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | OT | 01:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |