Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Dowd 49.1% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 96.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 52.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 73.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Giroux
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Giroux
Dowd
Last 6: Giroux 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Giroux
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
51.7% (644)
+8.6%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
0.0% (2)
+67.3%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
41.6% (221)
+23.8%
On power play, Giroux has a +67.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dowd
Home
65.9% (337)
48.6% (451)
Away
59.1% (318)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Giroux
Dowd
P1
62.1%
49.1%
P2
64.5%
47.3%
P3
60.9%
51.4%
OT
70.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |