Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Dowd 48.3% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 90.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Giroux
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Giroux
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Giroux
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
49.2% (778)
+6.3%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
58.3% (12)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
44.0% (234)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dowd
Home
59.0% (576)
46.3% (492)
Away
56.9% (576)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Giroux
Dowd
P1
57.0%
49.1%
P2
58.1%
48.2%
P3
58.9%
46.9%
OT
52.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
61.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |