Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.3%
Neutral zone
Giroux 59.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Giroux
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Giroux
Dowd
Last 10: Giroux 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
0
Giroux
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Giroux
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Giroux
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
55.2% (625)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
57.1% (7)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
38.2% (220)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Giroux shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Giroux
Dowd
Home
59.5% (580)
53.7% (445)
Away
57.3% (641)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Giroux
Dowd
P1
56.6%
48.8%
P2
58.0%
49.3%
P3
60.8%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
64.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |