Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Foligno 49.8% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 69.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.6%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Giroux
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Giroux
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Giroux
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
49.0% (261)
+11.3%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
57.1% (42)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
47.1% (51)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Giroux
Foligno
Home
65.9% (337)
48.9% (178)
Away
59.1% (318)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Giroux
Foligno
P1
62.1%
40.4%
P2
64.5%
55.8%
P3
60.9%
51.2%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |