Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Foligno 48.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 86.8%
Defensive zone
Giroux 91.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 87.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Giroux
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
18
(42 meetings)
24
18
Giroux
Foligno
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
5
12
Giroux
Foligno
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
18
4
Giroux
Foligno
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Giroux
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
48.3% (2,810)
+7.5%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
52.3% (730)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
44.0% (455)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Giroux
Foligno
Home
59.2% (10,252)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Giroux
Foligno
P1
57.5%
47.6%
P2
56.2%
50.4%
P3
57.3%
48.3%
OT
51.4%
29.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |