Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Roy 48.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 81.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 77.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 85.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Giroux
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Giroux
Roy
Last 6: Giroux 1-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Giroux
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Giroux
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
49.5% (746)
+8.2%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
50.7% (75)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
42.7% (110)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Giroux is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Giroux shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Giroux
Roy
Home
62.5% (675)
47.7% (491)
Away
57.5% (541)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Giroux
Roy
P1
60.6%
51.1%
P2
59.8%
44.6%
P3
60.9%
50.9%
OT
47.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
64.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |