Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Roy 48.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 64.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 69.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Giroux
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Giroux
Roy
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Giroux
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
4
Giroux
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
48.7% (3,719)
+7.1%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
49.5% (283)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
45.5% (477)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Giroux
Roy
Home
59.2% (10,252)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Giroux
Roy
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
56.2%
46.3%
P3
57.3%
48.1%
OT
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |