Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Roy 51.9% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 64.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Giroux
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Giroux
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Giroux
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
51.9% (547)
+8.4%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
54.1% (37)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
53.3% (92)
+12.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Giroux
Roy
Home
65.9% (337)
54.0% (328)
Away
59.1% (318)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Giroux
Roy
P1
62.1%
53.5%
P2
64.5%
51.6%
P3
60.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
60.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |