Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Thomas 51.7% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.5%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.2%
Neutral zone
Giroux 81.5%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Giroux
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Giroux
Thomas
Last 5: Giroux 5-0 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
50.1% (615)
+10.2%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
62.2% (98)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
52.6% (114)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thomas
Home
65.9% (337)
51.9% (374)
Away
59.1% (318)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Giroux
Thomas
P1
62.1%
49.2%
P2
64.5%
55.3%
P3
60.9%
50.6%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |