Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Giroux wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 51.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 53.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Giroux
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Giroux
Thomas
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
5
Giroux
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Giroux
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Giroux
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
51.1% (5,350)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
55.8% (921)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
49.9% (691)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Giroux shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,043).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thomas
Home
59.2% (10,252)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Giroux
Thomas
P1
57.5%
50.6%
P2
56.2%
52.9%
P3
57.3%
50.8%
OT
51.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |