Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.7% vs Thomas 52.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 52.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Giroux
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Giroux
Thomas
Last 7: Giroux 3-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Giroux
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Giroux
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (750)
53.6% (924)
+6.1%
Power Play
62.6% (190)
55.2% (181)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (281)
44.0% (116)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Giroux is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Giroux shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Giroux
Thomas
Home
59.5% (580)
53.6% (606)
Away
57.3% (641)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Giroux
Thomas
P1
56.6%
48.2%
P2
58.0%
55.3%
P3
60.8%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
64.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |