Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 88.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 56.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Giroux
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Giroux
Kuraly
Last 7: Giroux 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
1
Giroux
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Giroux
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
51.8% (444)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
45.3% (150)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kuraly
Home
65.9% (337)
54.6% (304)
Away
59.1% (318)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Giroux
Kuraly
P1
62.1%
55.2%
P2
64.5%
45.7%
P3
60.9%
49.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |