Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 86.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 54.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 68.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Giroux
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Giroux
Kuraly
Last 5: Giroux 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Giroux
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
49.4% (445)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
100.0% (3)
-34.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
41.9% (117)
+16.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kuraly
Home
59.0% (576)
49.2% (248)
Away
56.9% (576)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Giroux
Kuraly
P1
57.0%
48.3%
P2
58.1%
44.7%
P3
58.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
61.6%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |