Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 29 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 35-32 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 93.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 71.0%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Giroux
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
32
(67 meetings)
35
32
Giroux
Kuraly
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
21
3
Giroux
Kuraly
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
24
Giroux
Kuraly
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
9
5
Giroux
Kuraly
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
51.5% (5,141)
+4.3%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
56.0% (100)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
44.2% (1,086)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Giroux
Kuraly
Home
59.2% (10,252)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Giroux
Kuraly
P1
57.5%
51.1%
P2
56.2%
49.9%
P3
57.3%
50.0%
OT
51.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |