Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Giroux wins 64.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 61.6% vs Monahan 52.1% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 90.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 93.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 74.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Giroux
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Giroux
Monahan
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
2
Giroux
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (478)
52.3% (939)
+8.0%
Power Play
64.7% (133)
54.6% (174)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
69.1% (188)
48.6% (107)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Giroux is 64.1% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Giroux shoots right. Monahan is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Giroux
Monahan
Home
66.4% (408)
53.0% (593)
Away
59.6% (391)
51.7% (627)
By Period
Giroux
Monahan
P1
61.4%
50.3%
P2
64.9%
54.4%
P3
62.3%
51.8%
OT
69.2%
52.0%
Final 5 min
62.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
72.0%▲
65.0%
63.1%
Monahan
46.0%▼
48.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |