Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Monahan 52.4% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 50.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 62.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Giroux
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Giroux
Monahan
Last 8: Giroux 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Giroux
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Giroux
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
52.4% (853)
+7.2%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
58.6% (174)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
46.5% (144)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Giroux
Monahan
Home
65.7% (461)
53.4% (624)
Away
57.7% (515)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Giroux
Monahan
P1
60.7%
53.7%
P2
63.7%
52.4%
P3
60.2%
51.6%
OT
46.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
63.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |