Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 63 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Monahan 51.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 76-49 in 125 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 91.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 97.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 91.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 94.4%
94.4%
5.6%
Giroux
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
76
-
49
(125 meetings)
76
49
Giroux
Monahan
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
24
18
Giroux
Monahan
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
41
22
Giroux
Monahan
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
11
9
Giroux
Monahan
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
51.1% (11,356)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
53.7% (2,580)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
46.0% (766)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Giroux
Monahan
Home
59.2% (10,252)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Giroux
Monahan
P1
57.5%
50.9%
P2
56.2%
51.7%
P3
57.3%
51.0%
OT
51.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |