Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Keller wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Keller 47.0% vs Zegras 41.5% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 57.2%
Defensive zone
Keller 55.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 57.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Keller
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Keller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (44)
39.4% (510)
+3.8%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
47.1% (34)
-6.2%
On power play, Zegras has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Keller is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Keller shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Keller
Zegras
Home
45.7% (35)
42.3% (272)
Away
39.4% (33)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Keller
Zegras
P1
40.9%
37.6%
P2
47.8%
41.5%
P3
36.4%
40.8%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Keller
36.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%