Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Keller wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Keller 47.0% vs Zegras 35.4% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 59.6%
Defensive zone
Keller 57.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Keller
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Keller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (28)
29.6% (230)
+9.7%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
32.1% (56)
-7.1%
On even strength, Keller has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Keller is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Keller shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Keller
Zegras
Home
46.7% (15)
30.6% (147)
Away
29.4% (17)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Keller
Zegras
P1
30.8%
33.0%
P2
54.5%
31.7%
P3
25.0%
25.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Keller
36.0%▼
40.0%
37.5%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%