Scouting Report
Clayton Keller holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Keller 48.4% vs Zegras 40.4% (+7.8%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 64.5%
Defensive zone
Keller 60.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 55.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Keller
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Keller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (24)
33.6% (143)
+12.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
39.0% (41)
-14.0%
On power play, Zegras has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Keller is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Keller shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Keller
Zegras
Home
58.3% (12)
31.6% (98)
Away
31.3% (16)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Keller
Zegras
P1
30.8%
38.9%
P2
66.7%
38.0%
P3
33.3%
27.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Keller
36.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%