Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.7%). Look for Eakin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 52.1% vs Hertl 51.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 55.9%
Defensive zone
Eakin 62.2%
Neutral zone
Eakin 60.3%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Eakin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Eakin
Hertl
Last 6: Eakin 4-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eakin
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Eakin
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
0
Eakin
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (826)
50.4% (367)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.3% (59)
64.6% (48)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (116)
49.2% (59)
-1.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Eakin shoots left. Hertl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Eakin
Hertl
Home
53.4% (498)
50.9% (220)
Away
51.3% (503)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Eakin
Hertl
P1
49.8%
52.7%
P2
53.9%
52.8%
P3
52.8%
49.7%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
52.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |