Scouting Report
Cody Eakin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 55.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 69.7%
Defensive zone
Eakin 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Eakin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eakin
Hertl
Last 6: Eakin 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Eakin
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Eakin
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (722)
51.6% (1,084)
+4.9%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
61.0% (246)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (112)
44.1% (136)
+5.9%
On power play, Eakin has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Eakin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Eakin shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Eakin
Hertl
Home
57.8% (419)
55.2% (696)
Away
54.4% (441)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Eakin
Hertl
P1
53.8%
55.4%
P2
55.6%
54.8%
P3
57.5%
48.9%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
56.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |