Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Glass on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glass 49.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Glass leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 75.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 59.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 69.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Glass
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Glass
Duchene
Last 10: Glass 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Glass
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glass
6
0
Glass
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Glass
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glass
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,389)
53.9% (10,438)
-4.0%
Power Play
47.6% (189)
57.0% (1,677)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (103)
49.1% (468)
-2.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Glass is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,917).
Glass shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Glass
Duchene
Home
49.9% (1,462)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
49.3% (1,219)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Glass
Duchene
P1
47.6%
54.4%
P2
49.6%
54.5%
P3
52.1%
53.4%
OT
38.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glass
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.6%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Cody Glass |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |