Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Schwindt wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Joshua shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 50.3% vs Joshua 51.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 53.3%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 55.1%
Neutral zone
Schwindt 51.1%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Schwindt
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schwindt
Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
0
1
Schwindt
Joshua
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (209)
54.1% (37)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
50.0% (4)
+21.4%
On power play, Joshua has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Schwindt shoots right. Joshua is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Joshua
Home
47.2% (123)
57.1% (28)
Away
54.7% (95)
50.0% (14)
By Period
Schwindt
Joshua
P1
50.8%
52.9%
P2
51.2%
27.3%
P3
49.4%
78.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
48.0%
50.5%
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |