Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Schwindt wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Joshua shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 48.9% vs Joshua 51.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 56.8%
Defensive zone
Schwindt 53.9%
Neutral zone
Joshua 50.1%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Schwindt
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schwindt
Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
0
1
Schwindt
Joshua
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (337)
52.3% (283)
-4.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
85.7% (7)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
25.0% (20)
+28.3%
On penalty kill, Schwindt has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Schwindt is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Schwindt shoots right. Joshua is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Joshua
Home
44.6% (186)
49.0% (145)
Away
52.9% (170)
53.3% (165)
By Period
Schwindt
Joshua
P1
51.5%
56.6%
P2
49.6%
45.0%
P3
45.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |