Scouting Report
Cole Schwindt holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwindt wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 49.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 66.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 64.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Schwindt
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Schwindt
Thompson
Last 8: Schwindt 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
0
Schwindt
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Schwindt
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schwindt
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (370)
42.9% (3,521)
+5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
46.8% (372)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
33.6% (265)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Schwindt has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Schwindt is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Schwindt shoots right. Thompson is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Thompson
Home
45.5% (213)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
52.5% (179)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Schwindt
Thompson
P1
51.8%
44.5%
P2
48.6%
43.6%
P3
46.2%
40.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |