Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.6%). Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Schwindt wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 50.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 66.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Schwindt
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Schwindt
Gourde
Last 5: Schwindt 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Schwindt
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (209)
51.2% (469)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
37.5% (48)
+33.9%
On penalty kill, Schwindt has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Schwindt is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Schwindt shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Gourde
Home
47.2% (123)
47.8% (301)
Away
54.7% (95)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Schwindt
Gourde
P1
50.8%
47.3%
P2
51.2%
53.4%
P3
49.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |