Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.8%). Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Dewar 47.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 68.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 59.3%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Sillinger
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Sillinger
Dewar
Last 7: Sillinger 3-4 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Dewar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
3
Sillinger
Dewar
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Dewar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
46.2% (331)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
45.5% (11)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
50.0% (68)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dewar
Home
45.9% (488)
43.9% (189)
Away
46.7% (484)
49.3% (221)
By Period
Sillinger
Dewar
P1
45.0%
50.4%
P2
44.5%
50.0%
P3
49.5%
40.8%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |