Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 45.1%). Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Dewar 45.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 71.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 66.1%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Sillinger
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Sillinger
Dewar
Last 10: Sillinger 6-4 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
5
0
Sillinger
Dewar
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
4
Sillinger
Dewar
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Dewar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
45.4% (1,008)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
60.9% (23)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
41.8% (194)
-4.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dewar
Home
46.5% (1,620)
43.4% (588)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
46.8% (637)
By Period
Sillinger
Dewar
P1
45.6%
43.9%
P2
45.5%
47.1%
P3
45.8%
44.3%
OT
47.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |