Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Lazar 51.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 61.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 65.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Sillinger
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sillinger
Lazar
Last 6: Sillinger 4-2 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
52.9% (242)
-8.3%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
100.0% (3)
-45.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
33.3% (27)
-15.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Lazar
Home
45.5% (365)
57.1% (119)
Away
42.9% (331)
47.1% (153)
By Period
Sillinger
Lazar
P1
42.5%
53.1%
P2
43.9%
52.2%
P3
46.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |