Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Lazar 48.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 54.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 70.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Sillinger
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sillinger
Lazar
Last 8: Sillinger 5-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Lazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,792)
49.8% (2,623)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
52.3% (65)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
41.7% (410)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Sillinger is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,109).
Sillinger shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Lazar
Home
46.5% (1,615)
50.0% (1,541)
Away
44.8% (1,582)
47.6% (1,557)
By Period
Sillinger
Lazar
P1
45.7%
48.4%
P2
45.4%
48.8%
P3
45.9%
49.1%
OT
47.8%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
45.7%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |