Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Lazar 49.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 55.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 86.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 70.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Sillinger
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sillinger
Lazar
Last 8: Sillinger 5-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Lazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Lazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
50.2% (2,658)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
52.3% (65)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
41.9% (415)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Sillinger is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,109).
Sillinger shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Lazar
Home
46.5% (1,620)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Sillinger
Lazar
P1
45.6%
48.9%
P2
45.5%
48.9%
P3
45.8%
49.5%
OT
47.8%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |