Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.4% vs 39.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Mercer 41.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.9%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 51.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 56.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Sillinger
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sillinger
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Sillinger
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (99)
38.8% (263)
-1.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
35.3% (17)
+64.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
On power play, Sillinger has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Sillinger is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Sillinger shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Mercer
Home
35.2% (54)
34.7% (144)
Away
43.6% (55)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Sillinger
Mercer
P1
45.5%
32.7%
P2
28.6%
42.7%
P3
38.5%
42.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |