Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Mercer 37.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 50.4%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 53.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 50.0%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Sillinger
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sillinger
Mercer
Last 6: Sillinger 3-3 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Sillinger
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Mercer
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Mercer
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
35.4% (548)
+11.3%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
42.9% (35)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
0.0% (7)
+30.3%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Sillinger is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Sillinger shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Mercer
Home
47.9% (374)
39.9% (283)
Away
45.2% (405)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Sillinger
Mercer
P1
48.5%
37.7%
P2
47.8%
32.1%
P3
42.8%
37.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |