Scouting Report
Cole Sillinger holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Mercer 45.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.1%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 51.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 56.0%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Sillinger
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sillinger
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
43.2% (148)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
40.0% (10)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
28.6% (7)
-10.4%
On power play, Sillinger has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Mercer
Home
45.5% (365)
39.0% (82)
Away
42.9% (331)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Sillinger
Mercer
P1
42.5%
45.5%
P2
43.9%
44.0%
P3
46.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |