Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Grant 54.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 89.0%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 51.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 72.9%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Sillinger
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sillinger
Grant
Last 5: Sillinger 1-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Sillinger
Grant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Sillinger
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
56.5% (308)
-11.9%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
65.3% (49)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
48.5% (136)
-30.3%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Grant
Home
45.5% (365)
60.3% (257)
Away
42.9% (331)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Sillinger
Grant
P1
42.5%
54.7%
P2
43.9%
54.0%
P3
46.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |