Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Grant 52.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 85.2%
Defensive zone
Grant 50.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 68.5%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Sillinger
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sillinger
Grant
Last 5: Sillinger 1-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Sillinger
Grant
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Sillinger
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
53.7% (2,864)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
61.7% (175)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
46.0% (922)
-9.1%
On power play, Grant has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Grant
Home
46.5% (1,620)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Sillinger
Grant
P1
45.6%
51.1%
P2
45.5%
51.5%
P3
45.8%
54.3%
OT
47.8%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |