Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Malkin 49.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 58.8%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 61.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Sillinger
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sillinger
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Sillinger
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
49.0% (811)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
55.8% (43)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
50.0% (2)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Malkin
Home
45.5% (365)
52.3% (438)
Away
42.9% (331)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Sillinger
Malkin
P1
42.5%
51.3%
P2
43.9%
50.8%
P3
46.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |