Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Malkin 48.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.6%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 55.8%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 52.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Sillinger
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Sillinger
Malkin
Last 9: Sillinger 7-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Sillinger
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
0
Sillinger
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
47.9% (776)
-0.5%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
66.7% (24)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
100.0% (1)
-63.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Malkin
Home
45.9% (488)
49.6% (405)
Away
46.7% (484)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Sillinger
Malkin
P1
45.0%
49.6%
P2
44.5%
47.2%
P3
49.5%
48.5%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |