Scouting Report
Josh Dunne holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dunne on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dunne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Dunne 51.5% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 75.9%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 72.6%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 73.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Sillinger
Dunne
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sillinger
Dunne
Last 5: Sillinger 1-4 Dunne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Dunne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dunne
0
3
Sillinger
Dunne
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dunne
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (99)
54.8% (93)
-17.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Sillinger has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dunne shoots left. Sillinger is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Sillinger shoots left. Dunne is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dunne
Home
35.2% (54)
50.0% (36)
Away
43.6% (55)
55.0% (60)
By Period
Sillinger
Dunne
P1
45.5%
56.7%
P2
28.6%
57.1%
P3
38.5%
45.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.4%
Dunne
62.0%▲
45.2%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Josh Dunne |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |