Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 45.2%). Look for Dunne on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dunne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Dunne 46.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 70.1%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 58.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 65.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Sillinger
Dunne
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sillinger
Dunne
Last 5: Sillinger 1-4 Dunne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Dunne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dunne
0
3
Sillinger
Dunne
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Dunne
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
47.1% (174)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
0.0% (6)
+36.9%
On penalty kill, Sillinger has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dunne shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Dunne is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Dunne
Home
46.5% (1,620)
48.3% (60)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
43.8% (128)
By Period
Sillinger
Dunne
P1
45.6%
42.6%
P2
45.5%
51.7%
P3
45.8%
42.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Dunne
62.0%▲
45.2%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Josh Dunne |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |