Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 84.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 80.7%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 61.9%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Sillinger
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sillinger
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Sillinger
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Sillinger
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
58.0% (476)
-13.4%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
75.0% (8)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
50.9% (106)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Sillinger is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Sillinger shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Kastelic
Home
45.5% (365)
64.9% (265)
Away
42.9% (331)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Sillinger
Kastelic
P1
42.5%
58.5%
P2
43.9%
55.6%
P3
46.3%
56.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |